obviously we need a local on the ground analysis, yes eg; Big Scotty, or so
In the meantime, I will have a punt,,
Keeping in mind I am an optomist
Saddle up and head for Cessnock ASAP
My judgment based on these details
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/nsw/hunter/cessnockScroll down Check the weeks rainfall out
Had
No rain on Monday
None on Tuesday
ok 3mm on Wednesday
But
None again yesterday.
And only
0.4 of a mill today.
There has been strong breezes all week with lower relative humidities, more commonly known as track drying breezes,
most likely a giant dust-bowl at the moment.
Temperatures
are forecast to progressively rise over Saturday and Sunday
The major satellite cloud mass has been pushed to the North Coast, with nothing of significance building in the south or over the Tasman to replace it. So any sun showers will be indeed only that.
May get a couple of light showers this weekend, but that is all they will be,
My guess is that the track should currently be in
very good nick
And in the event of any sun showers the track will dry quickly with the constant low humidity moderate breeze.
Anyhow, shoot me if I am wrong