The majority of riders, although they won’t necessarily agree, purchase & race a machine that they align with their youth.
If you look to the heydays of Pre65 to Pre85 VMX racing (National’s aside), which was probably 8 to 10 years ago, the average competitor age was somewhere between 30 to 45. For anyone trying to market a low dollar recreational product or service, having a demographic that targets, Male, 35 to 45 with access to a moderate disposable income is like having a gold mine handed to you.
Fast forward to 2011 & on average, if you were a 16 to 25 year old rider “back in the day” buying a new;
1960 to 1965 bike you would average out at 61 to 56
1965 to 1970 bike you would average out at 56 to 51
1970 to 1975 bike you would average out at 51 to 46
1975 to 1980 bike you would average out at 46 to 41
1980 to 1985 bike you would average out at 41 to 36
Take the nominal 8 to 10 years, the majority age demographic (as noted above) has moved from 35/45 in 1999/2000 to 45/55 in 2010/2011. This brings with it the issues around motivation to race, fitness & the one that gets lost with some people, the resistance to race a bike because it is becoming increasing difficult, and expensive, to get good quality replacement parts. Add the deterioration in its general condition over a 5 round winter race series and it’s not hard to comprehend why people don’t want to “race” their pride and joy.
The recent years success of HBBB & Classic Dirt starts to make sense as to why the numbers have climbed to the where they have, because amongst other reasons, the rider demographic has moved. People want to enjoy the sport with their mates without having to get up at 5:00 am to drive 2 hours to a race meeting and compete in sloppy, grinding paste conditions.
When you look at EVO racing the level of componentry & technology coupled with the hybrids simply scared some people away from the class. Add to that the inability of some committees to recognise the potential & growth in the Pre85 & Pre90 classes, it doesn’t surprise me at all that “competitive numbers” at races are dwindling at such a fast rate.